US EditionMoody’s Economist: GDP Growth 'Fragile because We're Not Creating Jobs'
Critics highlight that rental data issues and sampling delays may understate inflation despite a 4.3% GDP growth reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis this quarter.
- On Tuesday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported real gross domestic product rose 4.3 percent annualized in Q3 2025, while the Bureau of Labor Statistics said the November inflation rate fell to 2.7 percent.
- A canceled mid-October sampling forced the BLS to reuse August rental figures and imply a 0 percent rent change for October, affecting housing costs that comprise about one-third of Consumer Price Index inputs.
- Diane Swonk warned that sampling delays and 25 percent sampling staff reductions meant seasonal prices like airfares and pre-Thanksgiving fares went unreported, noting `Those cases can show up as zeros in the percent change of the release.`
- This approach can conceal price increases in subsequent months, and experts say it will take at least six months to produce a reliable housing inflation estimate.
- Michael Hiltzik, Los Angeles Times reporter, argues that President Donald Trump and his helpers are cheering prematurely while a 43-day government shutdown caused major CPI data gaps and tariffs and higher healthcare premiums have yet to fully take effect.
13 Articles
13 Articles
Moody’s economist: GDP growth 'fragile because we're not creating jobs'
Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi cautioned against drawing premature conclusions about the strength of the economy, warning the recently announced 4.3 percent GDP growth is “fragile” because of a lack of job growth.
‘Um, not so fast’: Trump admin accused of fudging figures on faltering economy
President Donald Trump and his helpers are cheering prematurely over some good economic numbers that came out this month, according to Los Angeles Times reporter Michael Hiltzik. On Dec. 18, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that inflation had fallen to an annual rate of 2.7 percent in November, down from 3 percent in September. Then, on Tuesday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that real gross domestic product had gone up by…
Trump admin fudged the numbers to make faltering economy look better: economists
Los Angeles Times reporter Michael Hiltzik writes that President Donald Trump and his helpers are cheering prematurely over some good economic numbers that came out this month.On Dec. 18, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that inflation had fallen to an annual rate of 2.7 percent in November, down from 3 percent in September. Then, on Tuesday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that real gross domestic product had gone up by a …
MACDONALD: It's Coming - Q3 Economy Grows 4.3%
The holiday shopping season suggests that people have a good feeling about the direction of the US economy, and the Q3 data confirms it. Even before the Christmas shopping season, the economy grew at an impressive 4.3%. Gross domestic product is a broad measure of the goods and services produced across the economy. Economists had ... Read more The post MACDONALD: It’s Coming – Q3 Economy Grows 4.3% appeared first on Granite Grok.
Exports grew at a rate of 8.8%, while imports, which fall below GDP, fell another 4.7%.
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