Lula leads Flavio Bolsonaro in Brazil election poll after Banco Master scandal
Polls show Lula widening his lead as allegations tied to a collapsed bank and a $24 million film investment hurt Flavio Bolsonaro.
- On Friday, a Datafolha poll showed Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva gaining ground against Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in this year's presidential election, following reports linking the right-wing challenger to a disgraced banker.
- Intercept Brasil published a story alleging Flavio negotiated 134 million reais from former Banco Master owner Daniel Vorcaro to finance a film about President Jair Bolsonaro, prompting the polling decline.
- Flavio denied wrongdoing, confirming that Vorcaro agreed to finance the film but characterizing the deal as a "private sponsorship" with "no favors in return." Vorcaro's lawyers declined to comment.
- An AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll released Tuesday showed Lula winning a potential second-round runoff against Flavio by 48.9% to 41.8%, reflecting the impact of the scandal on voter support.
- Datafolha also surveyed a scenario where former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro would face Lula, should Flavio step down due to the Banco Master scandal, positioning her as a potential alternative.
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The Star Kuala LumpurLula leads Flavio Bolsonaro in Brazil election poll after Banco Master scandal
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads opposition Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the race for this year's presidential election, gaining ground after reports linking the right-wing... -May 22, 2026 at 02:50 pm EDT MarketScreener
Brazil Stock Market Falls 1.5% as Election Scandal Hits Banks and the Real Slips Past R$5
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In the face of a possible second round, the current president of the Workers' Party concentrates 48.9% of popular support compared to 41.8% of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, consolidating a favorable distance.
Still, according to the survey, 84.2% believe that the son of former president Jair Bolsonaro should remain in the race for the Presidency of the Republic.
The survey is the first carried out after the release of the audios sent by Jair Bolsonaro's son to the owner of the Master Bank
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 40% of the sources are Center, 40% of the sources lean Right
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