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Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro tied in Brazil's election runoff, Quaest poll shows

The 2-point margin of error makes the 41%-41% result a statistical tie as Bolsonaro gains ground ahead of October’s runoff, pollsters said.

  • A Quaest poll commissioned by Globo showed Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro tied at 41% each in a potential October runoff election, with Lula leading in the first round.
  • Senator Flavio Bolsonaro has gained momentum by seizing on turmoil at Brazil's Supreme Court to rally conservative voters, while corruption allegations involving one of Lula's sons and a weakening economy weigh on the president's reelection bid.
  • Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between September 3-6, finding the race tightened since a September 2 poll showed Lula ahead by 1 percentage point. The margin of error is 2 percentage points.
  • The runoff election is scheduled for next month as Bolsonaro continues to challenge the incumbent in a race that has shifted significantly following recent political and economic developments in Brazil.
  • With the election approaching, campaigns are intensifying across Brazil as voters weigh the candidates' platforms against ongoing economic instability and judicial challenges surrounding the current administration.
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63 Articles

Lean Right

This is the first time since last March that both candidates are numerically tied to a possible second round

·Madrid, Spain
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Lean Right

A new poll places Flávio Bolsonaro one point ahead of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the face of a hypothetical second round in Brazil. According to a poll by BTG Pactual/Nexus, whose results were collected by Bloomberg, the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro would obtain 46% of the votes against 45% ... Continue reading "Flávio Bolsonaro leads in a new poll against Lula da Silva in the face of an eventual balloting"

·Concepción, Chile
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Lean Right

A new Quaest poll showed both with 41% in a possible second round when less than a month is missing for the elections

·Vicente López, Argentina
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Lean Right

This is the first time since last March that both candidates are numerically tied to a possible second round, according to the survey prepared by the firm Quaest.In the previous one, released on September 2, the president had a point of advantage over the eldest son of ex-mandatario Jair Bolsonaro (42%)

·Buenos Aires, Argentina
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Metrópoles broke the news on Monday, September 7, 2026.
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