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Lawmakers Call for CFTC Crackdown on Prediction Markets After Bet on Downed U.S. Airmen

Lawmakers say Polymarket let users wager on whether two U.S. airmen would be rescued, renewing concerns about war-related contracts and insider trading.

  • On Monday, seven House Democrats led by Rep. Seth Moulton, D-Mass., demanded the Commodity Futures Trading Commission increase oversight of prediction markets after wagers on U.S. military actions in Iran.
  • Surging popularity for prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi has sparked scrutiny over controversial event contracts, with critics raising concerns about potential insider trading and anti-gambling law violations.
  • Polymarket acknowledged a wager on U.S. airmen in Iran last week "slipped through" internal safeguards, prompting lawmakers to cite existing CFTC rules prohibiting bets on terrorism, war, and assassinations.
  • Lawmakers requested a response by April 15 regarding regulatory authority and potential conflicts of interest between market participants and government officials, including ties to the President's family.
  • CFTC Chair Michael Selig argues federal authority supersedes state gaming regulations, having sued three states attempting to ban these platforms while asserting exchanges are supervised by experienced staff.
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Democratic lawmakers demand oversight on prediction markets and crackdown on wagers on war

In a letter to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, seven members of Congress are calling for the agency to regulate market prediction companies. (AP Photo)

·Phoenix, United States
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tippinsights broke the news on Tuesday, April 7, 2026.
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