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Latvia PM's United List ahead in election, exit poll shows
Exit polls show United List far ahead, but the party is expected to need partners to govern as security and living costs drove turnout.
Latvia holds parliamentary elections today, October 3, 2026, with Latvian Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs' centrist United List expected to win the largest share of seats but unlikely to secure an outright majority.
Kulbergs rose to power in May 2026 after the government led by Evika Silina collapsed. The current four-party coalition includes New Unity, the National Alliance, and the Union of Greens and Farmers.
An SKDS poll published September 25 placed United List first at 14.4%, while Sovereign Power/New Latvians followed on 9.4%. Advance voting turnout reached 5.66%, with over 88,000 citizens participating before today.
Security concerns and cost of living issues dominate the election agenda in this NATO and European Union member state bordering Russia. The 2026 defence budget reached €2.16 billion, equivalent to 4.73% of GDP.
Seven parties are projected to enter the Saeima, requiring coalition bargaining to form the next government. Recent tensions over constitutional amendments regarding gender and marriage have fractured coalition agreements, complicating negotiations ahead.
The Latvians have voted. Faced with the threat of Russia and growing economic concerns, they are strengthening the party of Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs's back. However, he must forge a new coalition.
But the populist parties have achieved a good performance, with some ranking second and third, with some 30 out of 100 seats in the single House of Parliament.