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Inflation Is the Worst in Three Years. Kevin Warsh Says that’s Not the Full Story

Gasoline drove more than 60% of the monthly increase, and traders quickly shifted to pricing in a possible Fed rate hike by October.

  • Consumer prices rose 4.2% in May from a year earlier, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Wednesday, marking the first 4%-handle increase in three years and the third straight monthly rise.
  • Gasoline prices jumped 7% from April and 40.5% over the year as the war in Iran chokes the Strait of Hormuz, with energy costs accounting for more than 60% of the monthly inflation damage.
  • New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces his first policy meeting next week, as markets now price a 63% chance of a rate hike by October, reversing weeks of expectations for cuts.
  • Retailers and families are adapting to cost pressures, with Dollar General Chief Executive Todd Vasos noting shoppers seek lower prices, while small businesses like Busy Baby have reduced staff as inflation outpaces wage gains.
  • Core inflation rose 2.9% over the year, suggesting limited spillover; however, the American public remains fatigued after five years of above-2% inflation, creating political pressure as midterm elections near.
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investorideas.com broke the news on Wednesday, June 10, 2026.
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