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Sherrill leads Ciattarelli in New Jersey governor race, but polls show many undecided

Mikie Sherrill leads with 44% of likely voters, but Jack Ciattarelli's support has increased since July, reflecting a competitive gubernatorial race in New Jersey, pollsters say.

  • An August Rutgers-Eagleton poll of 1,650 likely voters found Democratic Representative Mikie Sherrill leading Republican Jack Ciattarelli 44% to 35% in the New Jersey gubernatorial contest, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.
  • With New Jersey shifting rightward in 2024, Jack Ciattarelli, GOP nominee endorsed by President Donald Trump, tests whether Republicans can build on Trump's coalition after Rutgers's early July poll showed Mikie Sherrill leading 51% to 31%.
  • Other surveys corroborate the tightening, with Fairleigh Dickinson University's last month poll showing 47% to 42% and Cygnal's earlier this year poll showing 50% to 43%; Ciattarelli leads 45% to 34% among voters with some college or less.
  • The Cook Political Report rates the race Lean Democrat and pollsters warn it remains competitive with Independents pivotal, affecting stakes for the 2026 midterm cycle.
  • As summer winds down, campaigns enter the final months with seventeen percent of likely voters undecided, keeping the November 4, 2025 election race competitive and "in flux," pollsters said.
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Insider NJ broke the news in on Thursday, August 21, 2025.
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