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Israel's Ben-Gvir poised for election gains as young voters turn to right-wing

  • On Tuesday, October 27, 2026, Israelis voted in a high-stakes legislative election, with exit polls indicating a deadlock between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party and challenger Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar! party, leaving neither bloc with the 61-seat majority required to govern.
  • This election served as a referendum on Netanyahu's leadership following the October 7, 2023, Hamas-led attacks and three years of subsequent war, with voters split between his security track record and opposition demands for accountability.
  • Israel's 120-seat Knesset requires a 61-seat majority to govern, and no single party has secured an outright majority in the country's 78-year history, giving smaller parties outsized leverage in coalition negotiations.
  • National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir and his Otzma Yehudit party targeted Likud voters while Ben-Gvir warned against forming a unity government with Eisenkot, complicating the path to a stable right-wing coalition.
  • Persistent deadlock could trigger a new 90-day election cycle, potentially delaying urgent decisions on Gaza's reconstruction and military deployments in the West Bank and Lebanon.
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Center

With 50 percent of the vote counted in Israel's crucial general election, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's camp is ahead of the opposition on Wednesday, Central Election Commission data showed.

Center

The prime minister's bloc would obtain 56 seats, while the opposition would need the support of Palestinian groups.

Lean Left

US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that his support for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu helped him "very much in the parliamentary elections that took place a day before in Israel, whose voting process is still under way.

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Bias Distribution

  • 44% of the sources lean Right
44% Right

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Crisis Group broke the news in Brussels, Belgium on Thursday, October 15, 2026.
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