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Iran War Is Draining World's Oil Buffer at an Unprecedented Pace

Analysts warn import-dependent Asian countries could face critical fuel shortages within weeks as global stockpiles fall and emergency reserves are tapped.

  • Global oil inventories are plummeting at record speeds as the Iran war throttles flows from the Persian Gulf, with rapidly shrinking stockpiles raising the risk of extreme price spikes and shortages.
  • The near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz prompted governments to pledge 400 million barrels from emergency reserves, though the US has only utilized about 79.7 million of its promised 172 million barrels.
  • Asia-Pacific inventories outside China have fallen by about 70 million barrels since the conflict began, while US distillate stockpiles hit their lowest point since 2005, with crude accounting for almost 60% of the decline.
  • JPMorgan warns that inventories in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development could reach "operational stress levels" early next month if the strait doesn't reopen, while Frederic Lasserre, head of research at energy trader Gunvor Group, identified Pakistan, Indonesia, and the Philippines as facing imminent shortages.
  • Plains All American Pipeline LP Chief Executive Officer Willie Chiang expects the destocking environment to continue for months, then anticipates a post-war "restocking phenomenon" where countries replenish Strategic Petroleum Reserves above pre-war levels.
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16 Articles

Lean Right

Unprecedented depletion: The world is consuming its oil reserves at an alarming rate. The world is witnessing one of the fastest waves of oil stockpiling in history, coinciding with the escalation of the war with Iran and the disruption of crude oil supplies from the Gulf region, placing energy markets before a real danger of price hikes or even supply shortages.

·Amman, Jordan
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Lean Right

Since the US and Israel decided on 28 February to launch a military offensive on Iran the whole world holds its breath. At that time oil and gas prices skyrocketed. The Strait of Ormuz supports 20% of the world’s transit of both raw materials, and the blow was evident. However, since then, and even though Brent’s barrel has been installed above $100, the market has conveyed a strange sense of calmness. From the same perspective that citizens som…

·Spain
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Lean Right

Rapid decrease in stocks means that the risk of even more extreme increases in prices and shortages is getting closer and closer.

·Brazil
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Bloomberg broke the news in United States on Saturday, May 9, 2026.
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