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Iran Prolongs Talks in Stalemate to Influence U.S. Midterms, Officials Say

Senior Iranian officials say Tehran is prolonging indirect talks while expanding ship attacks to pressure Washington and keep oil prices elevated before the midterms.

  • Senior Iranian officials told Reuters on Tuesday that Tehran is deliberately prolonging negotiations and targeting commercial shipping to keep oil prices high, aiming to weaken President Donald Trump politically before the November 3 midterm elections.
  • The conflict, which began in February 2026, caused annual inflation to hit 73.6% in September while the rial dropped nearly 35%, driving Tehran to leverage shipping disruptions for sanctions relief before the midterms.
  • Iranian forces have intensified attacks in the Strait of Hormuz, with reports of sinking ships including the container vessel GFS Pride on October 13, causing seaborne crude exports to fall to zero as of October 5.
  • High fuel costs have fueled voter anxiety and GOP pressure on President Trump, prompting the administration to vow no further strikes against Iran until after the November 3 vote.
  • Iran specialists Cole Bucy and Nate Swanson warn the current diplomatic freeze is temporary, suggesting risk of major escalation or ground invasions may increase once the November midterm elections conclude.
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A number of analysts believe the chances of a new US-Iran war have increased following harsh statements from Donald Trump and Marco Rubio and the diplomatic deadlock.

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The United States and Israel do not plan to jointly attack Tehran before the US Congress mid-term elections in early November, when they announced Al-Jazeera with reference to U.S. President Donald Trump Anna Kelly's headlines.

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The Washington Post broke the news in Washington, United States on Monday, October 19, 2026.
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