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India's October Retail Inflation Quickens to 6.09% to Breach RBI's Tolerance Ceiling

Food prices and a weak base effect pushed inflation above the Reserve Bank of India’s ceiling, increasing expectations for another rate hike.

  • On Thursday, India's retail inflation accelerated to 6.09% in October, breaching the Reserve Bank of India's 6% upper tolerance limit for the first time in two years, according to data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation.
  • This marks the 12th consecutive month of rising consumer prices, driven by a broad-based increase in food prices. Food inflation climbed to 8.94% in October from 7.74% in September, with onion prices surging to 116.22%.
  • Rural inflation increased to 6.63% in October from 6.08% in September, while urban inflation rose to 5.41% from 4.88%. Both readings exceeded the 5.93% median estimate from a Reuters poll conducted last month.
  • Economists widely expect the Monetary Policy Committee to raise the policy repo rate by another 25 basis points at its December 2-4 meeting, as inflation now exceeds the RBI's tolerance band.
  • Price pressures are expected to persist in coming months, with global oil prices remaining nearly 40% higher than pre-war levels. The central bank anticipates inflation will average 6% through December, presenting ongoing challenges to economic stability.
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Retail Inflation In October: In the month of October, the inflation rate in the country has increased at a rocket speed and now the retail inflation has also crossed the limit set by RBI.

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India's October retail inflation at 6.09% on-year

·London, United Kingdom
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Live Mint broke the news in New Delhi, India on Wednesday, November 11, 2026.
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