[Opinion] Euro Area: Inflation Jump and Hawkish ECB Stance – Societe Generale

Tomorrow’s Eurozone Inflation Is Expected to Come in Around 2.5%: March 30, 2026

Tomorrow’s eurozone inflation release is expected to come in around 2.5%, according to the Interactive Brokers prediction market, but there’s a divergence of opinions considering that the monthly Reuters poll of 42 forecasters carries a median estimate of 2.6% amidst minimum and maximum values of 2.4% and 3.1%.

Inflation jump and hawkish ECB stance – Societe Generale

Societe Generale economists expect Euro area headline inflation to rise sharply in March, driven by higher energy costs, while core inflation eases slightly. They note the European Central Bank (ECB) has reinforced a hawkish bias, preparing potential small insurance hikes as it monitors PMIs, European Commission (EC) surveys and bank lending data to gauge second‑round effects and growth risks. Inflation spike and ECB reaction function “Attention…

Euro area: Inflation jump and hawkish ECB stance – Societe Generale