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India's Retail Inflation Quickens to 5.54% in September From 4.83% in August, Hits Near Two-Year High
The reading topped the Reuters poll forecast of 5.40% and pushed the Reserve Bank of India toward further tightening.
On Monday, the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation reported India's headline inflation rose to 5.54% in September from 4.82% in August, pressuring the Reserve Bank of India to tighten monetary policy.
Food inflation drove the surge, climbing sharply to 7.74% in September from 5.97% in August, as India experienced 11 straight months of rising prices reaching a 22-month high.
Last week, the Reserve Bank of India raised the policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.5%, shifting its stance to "calibrated tightening" amid warnings of elevated inflation expectations.
The consumer price index print exceeded economists' expectations of 5.40% according to a Reuters poll, with analysts noting, "This may not be a deep tightening cycle, but a tightening cycle it is."
Despite elevated international commodity prices and Middle East tensions, the RBI raised its GDP growth projection for 2026-27 to 7.1% from 6.7%, though officials cautioned that geopolitical frictions could weigh on economic activity.
Inflation Attack in India: Bad news has arrived just as the festive season has begun. Inflation has hit the country hard. Retail inflation in September exceeded expectations, reaching 5.54%.