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India’s October Merchandise Trade Deficit Widens to One-Year High of $39.88 Billion as Imports Surge
On Friday, India's merchandise trade deficit widened to a one-year high of $39.88 billion in October. "India recorded its highest-ever monthly goods exports in October 2026," Trade Secretary Rajesh Agrawal said while releasing the figures.
Inbound shipments jumped 19.7% in October, outpacing the 11.4% growth in exports. Imports surged to $89.35 billion from $74.61 billion in September, resulting in a wider trade gap despite record export performance.
India imports nearly 85% of its crude oil needs, significantly impacting the trade balance. Persistent disruptions in the global energy market from the Middle East conflict have spiked import costs.
The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate to 5.50% in October, shifting its monetary policy stance to calibrated tightening. The RBI also projected 7.1% real GDP growth and 5.2% inflation for FY27.
New Delhi has implemented trade deals with the UK and New Zealand this year to diversify export markets. A landmark agreement with the European Union is expected to be implemented early next year.