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Illinois lawmakers seek to regulate, tax prediction markets amid federal lawsuit

The measure would require $1 million licenses and a 50% tax as lawmakers cite insider-trading risks and other consumer concerns.

  • On Monday, Illinois lawmakers advanced Senate Bill 4168, the Prediction Markets Regulation and Taxation Act, requiring platforms like Kalshi or Polymarket to pay a $1 million licensing fee and imposing a 50% tax on adjusted gross earnings.
  • The Trump administration recently sued Illinois to block state regulators from applying gambling laws to these platforms, arguing they are "designated contract markets" under the exclusive authority of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission .
  • Market operators argue the 50% tax is "overly burdensome" and unconstitutional, while state officials contend these firms are making record profits by exposing residents to gaming products without basic consumer protections or oversight.
  • State Senator Michael Hastings argued the legislation ensures entities "plays by the same rules," while the Illinois Attorney General's office reviews the federal complaint challenging state authority.
  • The federal lawsuit against Illinois and the Illinois Gaming Board will likely determine whether states can enforce local gambling laws, highlighting ongoing tension between state consumer protection and federal regulatory uniformity.
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Illinois lawmakers seek to regulate, tax prediction markets amid federal lawsuit

(The Center Square) – Illinois may soon allow prediction markets to operate in the state, but lawmakers and the federal government are at odds with how they want it done.

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isba.org broke the news in on Monday, April 6, 2026.
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