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Hungary's Tisza party seen winning two-thirds majority in parliament, Median projection shows

Median’s projection gives Tisza 138 to 142 seats, above the 133 needed for a supermajority that would let it change key laws and seek EU funds.

  • Hungary's opposition party Tisza is on track to win a two-thirds parliamentary majority in Sunday's election, according to a projection from polling agency Median released on Wednesday.
  • Veteran nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orban and his Fidesz party face their biggest challenge in 16 years as Peter Magyar leads the centre-right Tisza party in independent polls.
  • Pollster Median, which surveyed 5,000 people, estimates Tisza will win between 138 and 142 seats in the 199-member parliament, surpassing the 133 needed for constitutional amendments.
  • Fidesz is expected to secure between 49 and 55 seats, while the far-right Our Homeland party is estimated to win five or six seats in the projection.
  • Despite most polls showing a Tisza lead, Orban's party points to alternative surveys suggesting they remain on course to victory, claiming opponents use institutes with ties to the ruling party.
Insights by Ground AI

46 Articles

Center

Tisza is heading for a two-thirds majority. Magyar could change constitution and laws. Orbán threatens the most severe defeat since 2010.

Right

The long-standing nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and his Fidesz party are facing the greatest challenge of their 16-year reign. Although it is not settled until Sunday, the most recent survey results already indicate a landslide victory of the opposition party Tisza by Challenger Péter Magyar. According to the renowned Hungarian opinion polling institute Median, the former party friend Orbáns points to a two-thirds majority in parliamen…

·Vienna, Austria
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Center

A new median survey shakes Hungary's political landscape. Tisza is clearly ahead of Orbán's Fidesz. Peter Magyar could rule with two thirds of the seats.

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Lean Left

A two-thirds majority in Tisza could rewrite the Hungarian constitution. Median correctly predicted Orbán's landslide victory in the last election.

Lean Right

The group around Peter Magyar goes to the election on Sunday, according to an institute that is considered to be reliable.

·Vienna, Austria
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Bias Distribution

  • 45% of the sources lean Left
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Heti Világgazdaság broke the news in Hungary on Tuesday, April 7, 2026.
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