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How long before Labour falls to third place in the polls?

I expect most Conservative Home readers follow opinion polling attentively. But even those with a more casual interest will have noted that Reform UK has been consistently ahead since the local elections in May. The conventional wisdom is that this is a passing craze. Like Ugg Boots or CB Radio. Lord Mandelson, the British Ambassador to the United States, articulated this view when he was summoned by JD Vance, the Vice President, to explain Refo…

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Conservative Home broke the news in on Tuesday, August 26, 2025.
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