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Groundhog Day 2026: Did Buckeye Chuck see his shadow?
Buckeye Chuck predicts early spring for Ohio with 75% accuracy while Punxsutawney Phil forecasts six more weeks of winter, continuing a centuries-old tradition.
On Feb. 2, 2026, Buckeye Chuck, Ohio's prognosticating groundhog, did not see his shadow at the Marion County Fairgrounds, predicting an early spring.
The tradition traces back to Candlemas, an ancient Christian midpoint festival, and German immigrants who brought Groundhog Day to the U.S., replacing badgers with groundhogs.
Data show Buckeye Chuck's track record is strong, as Ohio's official groundhog since 1979, with about three-fourths of predictions correct, while Punxsutawney Phil's accuracy is reported at only 35%, according to the Marion Star and Stormfax Weather Almanac.
Regional groundhogs offered mixed results, as Punxsutawney Phil predicted six more weeks of winter while Wiarton Willie and Quebec's Fred la Marmotte forecast an early spring, and Nova Scotia's Shubenacadie Sam canceled her event.
With National Weather Service forecasts calling Marion mostly cloudy and Punxsutawney partly sunny, Groundhog Day falls on a Monday, influencing shadow predictions and livestreams on 1490 WMRN and Buckeye Chuck Facebook page.