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J.P. Morgan Expects Gold Prices to Reach $6,300/oz by End of 2026

J.P. Morgan expects robust central bank buying of 800 tons and sustained investor demand to drive gold to $6,300 by end of 2026 despite recent sharp volatility.

  • On Feb 2, J.P. Morgan projected gold would reach $6,300 per ounce by year-end 2026 in a late Sunday note amid global gold market volatility.
  • Robust official-sector buying, the bank argues, is an ongoing structural trend as central banks purchased roughly 863 tonnes in 2025, with J.P. Morgan projecting 800 tons in 2026 amid reserve diversification away from the U.S. dollar.
  • After COMEX raised margins, gold from 6% to 8%, traders posted extra collateral, and bullion plunged more than 9.8% on ‍January 30, extending into Monday with spot gold at $4,401.
  • Major banks recommended treating the selloff as a buying opportunity for sophisticated buyers, with abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF up 13.74% year-to-date and physical bar and coin sales surging.
  • Supply constraints mean sustained demand would likely drive prices higher as gold mining sector reacts slowly, while record government debt and geopolitical risks plus a 0.5% reallocation could lift prices toward $6,000.
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regionalmedianews.com broke the news in on Monday, February 2, 2026.
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