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BHP Expected to Wait Out Rio Glencore Deal Talks as Copper M&A Heats Up

The $200 billion merger could create the world’s largest mining company focused on copper amid a forecast 10 million-ton annual shortfall by 2040, analysts say.

  • Last week, Glencore and Rio Tinto confirmed early-stage talks about a possible $200 billion merger, expecting Rio Tinto to acquire Glencore via a scheme of arrangement.
  • The push into copper is driven by Rio Tinto's concern that its iron-ore-heavy portfolio risks being left behind amid copper-led mergers, while S&P Global warns of a 10-million-ton shortfall by 2040.
  • On Friday, markets reacted with Glencore shares in London jumping nearly 8.5% while Rio Tinto closed 6.27% lower, and investors noted their complementary copper assets.
  • Regulators and shareholders will scrutinize Glencore's trading arm, while coal remains contentious as Rio exited coal in 2018 but may keep Glencore's coal assets.
  • Dealmakers are keeping structure flexible as broader consolidation into transition metals positions larger groups to win, with carve-outs and wriggle room in public announcements.
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The information that Rio Tinto will buy Glencore, a million-dollar operation that is part of the great movements that the sector is registering and that has Argentina as a center of interest, moved the board strongly.The transaction impacts all the main players in global mining, even the largest mining company in the world by market value -BHP-, which let go of course that it decided not to advance with a counteroffer by Glencore and to observe …

·Argentina
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Daily Maverick broke the news in South Africa on Sunday, January 11, 2026.
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