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Federal Reserve cuts key rate as government shutdown clouds economic outlook

The Federal Reserve cut rates to 3.75%-4.00% amid labor market risks and incomplete economic data during a prolonged government shutdown, signaling cautious policy amid inflation above target.

  • On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate to about 3.9% from about 4.1% and halted the runoff of securities holdings.
  • Because monthly jobs, inflation and consumer spending reports are suspended due to the government shutdown, the Fed faces a policy dilemma as hiring slows and inflation exceeds its 2% target.
  • Recent data show monthly hiring gains averaged 29,000 and unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, while Fed governor Stephen Miran and Jeffrey Schmid dissented on the rate cut.
  • Lower rates could reduce borrowing costs for mortgages, auto loans, credit cards and business loans, but recent cuts have disrupted money markets, raising concerns about short-term lending and liquidity.
  • Market indicators show the CME Group's FedWatch tool estimates a 90.5% probability of a 25 basis-point cut at the December meeting, but Powell said decisions depend on incoming information.
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No GDP data released as US shutdown bites

A US federal data blackout deepened Thursday as a government shutdown halted the release of third quarter GDP figures, forcing policymakers, financial institutions and business owners to continue flying blind.

Center

The US Federal Reserve has again lowered the key rate by 0.25 percentage points.

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Fast Company broke the news in on Tuesday, October 28, 2025.
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