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Fed to hit pause on rate hikes, but maybe not for long

Investors see a hold as officials weigh hotter inflation, stronger growth and rising Treasury yields, with some economists expecting the pause to be brief.

  • On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve began its two-day policy meeting, with investors and economists widely expecting policymakers to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.75%-4.00%.
  • Nearly all 100 economists polled by Reuters anticipate a rate increase at the central bank's December meeting, as policymakers exercise patience despite persistent inflation.
  • Market pricing from the CME Group's FedWatch Tool reflects an 88% probability of a rate hold, with the meeting occurring just days before the November 3 midterm elections.
  • Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces a delicate challenge during his post-meeting press conference, needing to balance inflation-fighting credibility against political pressure regarding central bank independence.
  • Inflation has remained above the central bank's 2% target for nearly six years, prompting analysts to warn that further tightening remains necessary despite the anticipated short-term pause.
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5 things to watch from the Federal Reserve's next meeting

Federal Reserve policymakers are likely to keep their key interest rate unchanged Wednesday when they finish what may seem like an uneventful meeting.

·Orlando, United States
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Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon report results this week, along with third-quarter GDP, the PCE and Fed decision. Calendar and expectations.

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Southeast AgNET broke the news on Tuesday, October 20, 2026.
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