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European economies end year resilient but sluggish

Eurozone growth slowed to a PMI of 51.9 in December as German manufacturing contracted further; service sector inflation hit a nine-month high, influencing ECB rate expectations.

  • On Dec 16, the eurozone's business activity growth slowed as the HCOB composite PMI eased to 51.9 in December, completing a full calendar year of expansion.
  • Germany's manufacturing sector ended the year on a weaker footing as its PMI fell to 47.7, while France's manufacturing rebounded with a PMI jump to 50.6.
  • Services stayed in expansion at 52.6 in December but eased from 53.1, while Eurostat showed a 18.4 billion trade surplus and EU exports to US fell 14.7%.
  • Service-Sector cost pressures pushed expectations that the ECB will hold rates on Thursday, as cost inflation hit a nine-month high and investors priced out further ECB cuts.
  • Growth remains barely above 1%, with German government spending expected to lift activity soon, and Bert Colijn said `Overall, this reading still corresponds to decent GDP growth for the euro zone in the fourth quarter of 2025`.
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Action Forex broke the news in on Tuesday, December 16, 2025.
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