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Earth's average temperature for 2025-29 likely to exceed 1.5°C limit: WMO

  • The World Meteorological Organization and UK Met Office forecast that Earth's average temperature will likely exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels between 2025 and 2029.
  • This forecast follows recent record temperatures in 2024 that temporarily breached the 1.5°C threshold, driven by human-caused warming and an El Niño event.
  • The prediction relies on more than 200 computer simulations from 10 global scientific centers, showing an 86% chance a year will exceed 1.5°C and a 70% chance the five-year average will do so.
  • Scientists warn higher temperatures will increase the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, including heat waves, droughts, floods, wildfires, and stronger storms.
  • These climate trends imply rising risks to health, ecosystems, and economies, with an 80% chance of new temperature records and a small chance of exceeding 2°C before 2030.
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infoLibre.es broke the news in on Tuesday, May 27, 2025.
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