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Shares Steady, Dollar Slips as Markets Pare Fed Rate Risks

FedWatch now puts a September rate hike at 30%, down from about 50% a week earlier, as soft retail sales and sentiment data pressure the dollar.

  • On Aug 17, the dollar fell to its lowest level since June as soft U.S. economic data reduced Federal Reserve rate hike expectations. Markets now price a hike at 30 per cent, down sharply from about 50 per cent a week earlier, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
  • Retail sales posted the first decline in nine months in July, while consumer sentiment soured by more than expected. These readings, combined with soft inflation data, prompted markets to reduce bets for an imminent Federal Reserve rate hike.
  • In bond markets, the two-year Treasury yield eased two basis points to 4.154 per cent, touching a seven-week low. Ten-year yields similarly slipped two basis points to 4.680 per cent after mixed performance last week.
  • The Australian and New Zealand dollars reached 10-week peaks at $0.7105 and $0.5910, while the European currency hit a two-month high of $1.1588. Gold bounced 0.43 per cent to $4,394 an ounce amid the broader market shift.
  • Investors now focus on Purchasing Managers PMIs this week to gauge whether mid-year business activity acceleration can be sustained. Earnings from Home Depot, Target, and Walmart will provide critical insight into consumer strength.
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19 Articles

BloombergBloomberg
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ArcaMax PublishingArcaMax Publishing
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Dollar Extends Slide as Traders Scale Back Fed Tightening Bets

·New York, United States
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ArcaMax Publishing broke the news on Monday, August 17, 2026.
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