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Midterm Polls, Prediction Markets Ride "Blue Wave" to Death or Glory
RealClearPolling shows Democrats ahead by 8.2 points, while Polymarket gives them a 94.5% chance to win the House.
Summary by Newsweek
Podcasts & Opinions
4 Articles
4 Articles
On Tuesday, Americans will learn who will take control of Congress. They will also discover whether it's worth continuing to trust polls and prediction markets. This time, both forecasts agree—a "blue wave" is coming. But in recent years, these tools have failed.
Midterm Polls, Prediction Markets Ride 'Blue Wave' to Death or Glory
On Tuesday, Americans will learn who controls Congress. They will also learn whether to keep believing the two Ps that signal what may happen: the polls and the prediction markets. This time, the two agree: a blue wave is coming. And they are surfing it toward the fate that awaits them on November…
Coverage Details
Total News Sources4
Leaning Left0Leaning Right1Center1Last UpdatedBias Distribution50% Center, 50% Right
Bias Distribution
- 50% of the sources are Center, 50% of the sources lean Right
50% Right
C 50%
R 50%
Factuality
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