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Democrats hold 10-point edge over Republicans ahead of midterm elections: Poll

The survey found Democrats ahead 50% to 40%, with 10% undecided, as the party’s edge widened from 2 points in December.

  • Democrats hold a 10-point lead on the generic congressional ballot, 50 percent to 40 percent, according to an Emerson National Polling survey of 1,000 likely voters.
  • Strength among Hispanic voters is driving Democratic support, according to Emerson College Polling executive Spencer Kimball, while President Donald Trump's approval rating sits at 40 percent with 56 percent disapproval.
  • The Cook Political Report recently reclassified North Carolina and Georgia to Lean Democrat, while on Polymarket, Democrats are favored to win the House 85 percent to 16 percent.
  • Democrats are seen as having a better chance of taking control of the House, as Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority, meaning Democrats must net four additional seats to take control.
  • The poll arrives nearly six months before the midterms, though analysts caution against overconfidence after 2024, when Democratic hopes collided with Republican victories across the White House, Senate, and House.
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Democrats hold 10-point edge over Republicans ahead of midterm elections: Poll

Democrats hold a 10-point advantage over Republicans in the latest polls, indicating a strong position ahead of the midterm elections.

·Washington, United States
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Political Wire broke the news in New York, United States on Wednesday, April 29, 2026.
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