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Democrats edge out, neck and neck with Republicans in 5 key Senate races: Polls
The poll shows Democrats with narrow leads in Alaska, Texas and Ohio as Republicans try to defend a 53-47 Senate majority.
- On Saturday, October 3, 2026, a New York Times/Siena survey showed Democrat James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton 51 percent to 45 percent in the Texas Senate race, potentially marking the first Democratic Senate victory in Texas since 1988.
- Republicans currently hold a 53-47 Senate majority, requiring Democrats to protect existing seats and gain four Republican-held positions for outright control; a 50-50 split would leave Republicans effective control through Vice President JD Vance's tie-breaking vote.
- Across other closely watched contests, Democrats hold leads in Alaska and Ohio, while Republican Ashley Hinson maintains a narrow 48-47 lead in Iowa and the Kansas race remains tied between Democrat Adam Hamilton and Republican Roger Marshall.
- Economic concerns featured highest on voters' priorities, with 21 percent citing it as the most important issue, while between 48 percent and 51 percent of voters expressed strong disapproval of President Donald Trump's job performance.
- Democrats navigate an emerging map presenting multiple paths through states with sharply different electorates, ranging from heavily urban Texas to sparsely populated Alaska, with results potentially replicated on Election Day.
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8 Articles
8 Articles
Democrats lead in three of five traditionally Republican states
A new New York Times/Siena College poll paints a surprising picture just one month before the U.S. midterm elections: Democrats are leading in Senate races in Texas, Alaska and Ohio, while candidates in Kansas are virtually tied.What’s...
NYT/Siena Poll: James Talarico +6, Gina Hinojosa +4
The New York Times reports: In the go-big-or-go-home collective consciousness of Texas, no ambition is deemed too reckless, no daydream too wild. Save perhaps one. It is the idea, fantastical to many as it is irresistible to others, that the Democrats will win a statewide race in Texas for the first time in 32 years. … The post NYT/Siena Poll: James Talarico +6, Gina Hinojosa +4 appeared first on Joe.My.God..
Coverage Details
Total News Sources8
Leaning Left1Leaning Right1Center5Last UpdatedBias Distribution72% Center
Bias Distribution
- 72% of the sources are Center
72% Center
14%
C 72%
14%
Factuality
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