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Flavio Bolsonaro and Lula About Even Ahead of Brazil Runoff, Datafolha Poll Shows
Datafolha said the race is a statistical tie, with 2,154 voters surveyed and a 2-point margin of error as undecided voters remain few.
On Thursday, a Datafolha poll showed Brazilian Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva tied at 50% of valid votes ahead of the October 25 runoff election.
Datafolha's latest survey indicates a tightening race, as Flávio Bolsonaro's previous 51% lead has eroded to a tie within a week after he led Lula in the first-round vote earlier this month.
In raw totals, Bolsonaro received 47% and Lula 46%, with 5% of respondents intending to cast blank or null votes and 2% remaining undecided, the poll showed.
Voters will decide the presidency on Sunday, October 25, when the winner assumes office for a four-year term in a race that remains a statistical tie.
Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi give Bolsonaro a 78% and 79% chance of winning, respectively, as of Thursday evening, contrasting with the polling dead heat.
After months of tensions, accusations and alternatives of all kinds, the final stretch towards this Sunday's Brazilian presidential election adds an end of heart attack:...