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Brazil's Flavio Bolsonaro Turns Scandal Into Poll Gains

  • A BTG/Nexus poll shows Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading Flávio Bolsonaro 46% to 45% in a possible runoff, a statistical tie within the two-point margin of error.
  • In the October 4 first round, Lula has 40% support, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro at 37%, Augusto Cury at 6%, and Ronaldo Caiado at 5%.
  • If no candidate wins more than half of the valid votes, the top two candidates will compete in a runoff on October 25.
  • A São Paulo poll gives Tarcísio de Freitas 53% and Fernando Haddad 38% in the first round.
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100 Articles

Lean Left

The presidential race in Brazil is heating up with less than two weeks to go before the October 4 election. Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the first round, but recent polls show a close tie in a runoff. According to a Quaest poll published on September 21, Lula would receive 37% support in the first round, compared to 33% for Flavio Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jai…

Lean Right

Opinion polls continue to narrow the gap between the two favorite candidates

·Vicente López, Argentina
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KreiszeitungKreiszeitung
+5 Reposted by 5 other sources
Center

Less than two weeks before the presidential election, the race has become much tighter. Lula meets Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro.

·Syke, Germany
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Bias Distribution

  • 58% of the sources are Center
58% Center

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Folha de S.Paulo broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Friday, September 11, 2026.
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