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Cook Political Report Shifts 18 House Races Toward Democrats
Cook Political Report shifted 18 House races toward Democrats, with eight districts moving to solid Democrat status, reflecting GOP divisions and recent Democratic special election overperformance.
- On Jan. 15, 2026, the Cook Political Report moved every New York competitive House race toward Democrats in its latest ratings update.
- Cook analysts cited Democrats' overperformance in special elections, Tom Suozzi's return last year, and GOP divisions as factors shaping the updated House race ratings.
- The update reclassified Republican Rep. Mike Lawler's 17th Congressional District from lean Republican to tossup, moved Democratic Rep. Laura Gillen's 4th District to lean Democrat, and shifted New York's 18th and 22nd districts to safe Democratic.
- With those shifts, Cook noted Republicans must win roughly three-quarters of the Toss Up races, while `House Democrats only need to flip three seats to win a majority`, Erin Covey wrote.
- Nationally, Cook Political Report moved 18 midterm races more Democratic, reflecting historical midterm record since 1932 and making New York a focal state in a tightly divided House.
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Nonpartisan index hands Democrats New Year's present with 18 rating shifts
Democrats’ chances of recapturing the House majority in the 2026 elections are increasing, thanks to President Donald Trump’s approval rating, off-year election results, and lack of strong Republican candidates. An analysis from the nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted 18 competitive seats toward Democrats. Several moved from “lean Democrat” to “solid Democrat.” But shifts for other seats, such as those held by Reps. Marcy Kaptur (D-OH) an…
·Washington, United States
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Gold-Star Political Analysts Shift Four New York Congressional Districts in Democrats’ Favor for November Midterm Elections
‘It’s increasingly clear that Democrats are in a strong position to win control of the House this November,’ the Cook Political Report says.
·New York, United States
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Total News Sources11
Leaning Left2Leaning Right3Center6Last UpdatedBias Distribution55% Center
Bias Distribution
- 55% of the sources are Center
55% Center
L 18%
C 55%
R 27%
Factuality
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