Cook Political Report moving 4 of 5 gubernatorial races toward Democrats
Polling and prediction markets show a tighter race as Democrats gain ground and the contest joins four other gubernatorial races now rated more competitive.
- On Friday, July 10, 2026, the Cook Political Report shifted ratings in five gubernatorial contests, moving four toward Democrats and potentially positioning the party to hold more governorships nationally than at any time since 2010.
- The Cook Political Report reclassified Ohio from Lean Republican to a Toss Up, citing Republican Vivek Ramaswamy's "clear likeability problem … even some in his own party" as a statistical tie emerged between Democrat Amy Acton and him.
- Arizona moved toward Democrats, where incumbent Katie Hobbs likely faces Rep. Andy Biggs, while Maine and New Mexico shifted to Solid Democrat ratings with Democrat Hannah Pingree holding a solid lead over Republican Bobby Charles in Maine.
- In Oregon, the report downgraded the governor's race from Solid to Likely Democrat, reflecting incumbent Gov. Tina Kotek's poor approval ratings as she faces state Sen. Christine Drazan in the general election.
- Analyst Jessica Taylor noted the shifts reflect a favorable national climate and strong Democratic recruitment, positioning Democrats to reach their highest number of governorships nationally since 2010 if they prevail in these contests.
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Cook Political Report Shifts 4 Gubernatorial Races Toward Democrats
The nonpartisan Cook Political Report on July 10 moved its ratings in five gubernatorial races, moving all but one in favor of Democrats ahead of the November midterms. Jessica Taylor, the Senate and governors’ editor for the report, wrote that the Democratic Party “now finds itself surprisingly competitive in several red-leaning states, including Ohio and Iowa, due to a favorable national climate and unique Democratic recruits.” In Arizona, Coo…
Ohio gubernatorial race shifts from lean Republican to toss-up
Ohio’s governor’s seat tilted toward the Democratic Party’s favor, as Republican gubernatorial nominee Vivek Ramaswamy challenges a rival with broad name recognition. The Cook Political Report on Wednesday shifted the race from “Lean Republican” to a “Toss Up.” The development comes as Ramaswamy and Democratic nominee Amy Acton vie to succeed Gov. Mike DeWine (R-OH) in one of the country’s most closely watched races. Acton is a familiar face …
Handicapper Shifts Four Gov Races Towards Democrats
The Hill reports: The biggest changes came in Arizona and Ohio; the governor’s race in the Grand Canyon State moved from “toss up” to “lean Democrat,” and in the Buckeye State — which is currently led by Gov. Mike DeWine (R) — the race shifted from “lean Republican” to a “toss up.” In Arizona, the report cited Gov. Katie Hobbs’s (D) fundraising advantage over likely Republican nominee Rep. Andy Biggs (Ariz.), as well as her relatively strong app…
Cook Political Report moving 4 of 5 gubernatorial races toward Democrats
The nonpartisan Cook Political Report on Friday shifted its ratings in five gubernatorial races, moving all but one race in favor of Democrats, as the left gains momentum in several key states ahead of November. Jessica Taylor, the Senate and governors’ editor for the report, wrote that Democrats are finding themselves uniquely competitive in several…
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