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Computer simulations show nightmare Atlantic current shutdown less likely this century

A new study concludes that the collapse of the Atlantic Ocean current, known as AMOC, is unlikely this century, according to scientists at the United Kingdom's Met Office and the University of Exeter.
Lead author Jonathan Baker noted that no simulation showed a total shutdown before 2100, indicating future weakening without complete collapse.
Baker warns that while this news is reassuring, it does not mean complacency, as weakened AMOC poses significant climate risks.
Researchers Levke Caesar and Stefan Rahmstorf affirm that this study does not contradict their earlier concerns about potential shutdowns, maintaining the concern for severe consequences.

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Nature

Onshore intensification of subtropical western boundary currents in a warming climate

Subtropical western boundary currents (WBCs) refer to swift narrow oceanic currents that flow along the western edges of global subtropical ocean basins. Earlier studies indicated that the WBCs are extending poleward under a warming climate. However, owing to limited observations and coarse resolution of climate models, how greenhouse warming may affect the zonal structure of the WBCs remains unknown. Here, using seven high-resolution climate mo…

1 day ago·United Kingdom

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Watts Up With That?

Why Isn’t the Mainstream Media Reporting that Ocean Circulation Is Doing Well?

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is not collapsing, is not slowing catastrophically, and is not about to trigger an Ice Age. The latest scientific research confirms what observational data has shown for decades: AMOC variations are natural, and there is no impending crisis. That’s the good news journalists and news outlets claiming to be presenters of the truth should be reporting, but we at Climate Realism won’t be holding our br…

2 days ago

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Fast Company

Disastrous Atlantic current shutdown is unlikely this century, new study says

The nightmare scenario of Atlantic Ocean currents collapsing, with weather running amok and putting Europe in a deep freeze, looks unlikely this century, a new study concludes. In recent years, studies have raised the alarm about the slowing and potential abrupt shutdown of the Atlantic end of the ocean conveyor belt system. It transports rising warm water north and sinking cool water south and is a key factor in global weather systems. A possib…

Computer Simulations Show Nightmare Atlantic Current Shutdown Less Likely This Century

The nightmare scenario of Atlantic Ocean currents collapsing, with weather running amok and putting Europe in a deep freeze, looks unlikely this century, a new study concludes.

4 days ago·New York, United States

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Sueddeutsche Zeitung

Atlantik-Stromung: Attenuation instead of collapse

British climate researchers explain why a complete collapse of the ocean current AMOC is unlikely for the time being, but it is likely to become weaker. What this means for Europe.

5 days ago·Munich, Germany

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Niagara Gazette

Nightmare scenario of Atlantic current shutdown less likely this century

The nightmare scenario of Atlantic Ocean currents collapsing, with weather running amok and putting Europe in a deep freeze, looks unlikely this century, a new study concludes.

5 days ago

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