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Scientists Say Both Best and Worst Climate Warming Scenarios Are No Longer Likely
Updated models cut the worst-case end-of-century warming estimate by 1 degree Celsius, but scientists still say the world will miss the Paris 1.5 C target.
- Scientists say updated climate projections no longer consider either the most catastrophic warming scenario or the Paris Agreement’s 1.5C target to be realistic outcomes.
- Researchers estimate the world is currently on track for roughly 3C of warming by 2100, while even the best case scenario temporarily exceeds 1.5C before potentially declining later.
- Experts say rapid growth in renewable energy has reduced the likelihood of extreme coal driven warming scenarios, but emissions cuts have not happened quickly enough to meet international goals.
- Climate scientists warned that every additional fraction of a degree of warming is expected to intensify heat waves, flooding, water shortages, and risks to vulnerable communities including small island nations.
- President Donald Trump praised the revised outlook on social media and claimed earlier high end climate projections had been proven wrong, while researchers stressed that serious climate risks still remain.
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The advance of renewable energies and the slowdown in emissions growth reduced the likelihood of catastrophic warming of 4.5°C, although experts believe it is increasingly difficult to avoid exceeding the 1.5°C limit
·Buenos Aires, Argentina
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der Standard ATReposted by 
der Standard DE
der Standard DEClimate change deniers celebrate the abolition of the so-called RCP8.5 scenario. Why rejecting this worst-case forecast is a success, but not a warning
·Vienna, Austria
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Coverage Details
Total News Sources86
Leaning Left17Leaning Right27Center16Last UpdatedBias Distribution45% Right
Bias Distribution
- 45% of the sources lean Right
45% Right
L 28%
C 27%
R 45%
Factuality
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