Study Finds Geoengineering Can't Save Coffee, Chocolate, Wine Crops
Only 6 of 18 key luxury crop regions showed improvement under Stratospheric Aerosol Injection, with unpredictable rainfall and humidity undermining its effectiveness, researchers said.
- On November 4, 2025, a study published in Environmental Research Letters found stratospheric aerosol injection may not secure the future of wine grapes, coffee and cacao.
- Luxury crops require tightly defined conditions and are highly sensitive to shifts in precipitation and humidity, while internal variability can overwhelm geoengineering efforts.
- The researchers modelled SAI as releasing reflective sulfur aerosols and tested temperature-targeted scenarios at 1.0 and 1.5 above pre-industrial, using daily and monthly climate data across 18 major growing regions.
- Only six regions showed reliable gains under SAI, while France faced nearly $60 billion in wine revenue differences and Brazil and Ghana showed volatile outcomes.
- The study concludes SAI remains speculative and researchers urge adaptation strategies, resilient agricultural investment, and global cooperation amid recent years of growing skepticism about aerosol injections.
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60 Articles
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