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Chicago Bears Seasons that Exceeded Expectations the Most

The Colts exceeded preseason win expectations by up to 5.5 games in 2012, based on over/under lines from sportsbooks and data from Pro Football Reference.

  • Since 2000, Stacker compiled a list of Chicago Bears seasons that most exceeded preseason expectations using Pro Football Reference data.
  • Measuring wins above preseason over/unders, the list ranked seasons by overperformance and resolved ties by awarding the higher preseason over/under the better rank.
  • The Bears' 2001 team produced the largest swing, finishing 13-3 against a 7-win preseason over/under for a 6-win surplus.
  • Fans gain self-esteem and identity from team success, while a Super Bowl win can unite a city; by contrast, disappointing seasons can `feel like a gut punch` for supporters.
  • Amid preseason hype, NFL fans make predictions that fuel interest from Week 1 through Week 18, sustaining attention on preseason predictions and draft coverage.
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Reflector broke the news in on Friday, February 6, 2026.
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