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Chancellor Rachel Reeves Expected to Increase Tax in Autumn Budget Despite Election Promise

Chancellor Reeves warns a £20-40 billion fiscal gap may force tax rises despite Labour's manifesto promise, aiming to avoid austerity and maintain public service funding.

  • Chancellor Rachel Reeves signalled possible tax increases and declined to recommit to the Labour Party manifesto, saying `we will all have to contribute`, ahead of the autumn Budget on November 26.
  • The Office for Budget Responsibility expected to downgrade productivity later this month will leave Chancellor Rachel Reeves needing to find around £20–30 billion a year, with a larger buffer pushing the hole closer to £30–40bn to avoid the 2022 mini‑budget crisis.
  • Raising UK rates would hit Scotland via the Block Grant Adjustment, reducing the Scottish Budget by close to £1 billion with a 2p rise next year or £500 million with a 1p rise.
  • Opponents demanded Reeves' removal if she breaks the pledge, and markets reacted by knocking sterling lower, while SNP Economy spokesperson Dave Doogan said Labour had `misled voters.`
  • The Treasury is exploring targeted levies—including capital gains or property measures—and cuts to green levies to lower bills by 170 while protecting services and building headroom, senior Labour figures accept breaching the manifesto carries political risk but say a return to austerity would be `politically and economically impossible`.
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  • 43% of the sources lean Left, 43% of the sources are Center
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The Herald Scotland broke the news in Scotland, United Kingdom on Tuesday, November 4, 2025.
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