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US Federal Reserve Hikes Rates, Sees More Tightening in Search of 'Timelier' Drop in Inflation

Fed policymakers projected one more quarter-point increase this year as inflation stayed elevated and the policy rate was lifted to 3.75%-4.00%.

  • On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates to the 3.75%-4.00% range, with new central bank chief Kevin Warsh joining a unanimous decision acknowledging persistent inflation pressures.
  • Persistent price pressures forced the hike, driven by President Donald Trump's global import tariffs, an energy shock from the US-Israeli war with Iran, and capital spending from the artificial intelligence boom.
  • Policymakers raised inflation estimates to 3.7% per the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, while 16 of 18 officials anticipate at least one more quarter-percentage-point hike by year-end.
  • Following the announcement, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield traded at 4.958% while average 30-year fixed-rate mortgages approach 7%; market bets on an October rate hike rose to 56.5% per CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
  • The Fed projects rates rising to the 4.00%-4.25% range by year-end and remaining there through 2027, while inflation is not expected to return to the 2% target until 2029, a year later than previously anticipated.
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Parkiet broke the news on Wednesday, September 16, 2026.
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