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Lula and Bolsonaro Stuck in Tie Ahead of Brazil Vote

  • An AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll released Wednesday shows Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro remain statistically tied in a simulated runoff, with Lula holding 47.7% to Bolsonaro's 47.4% support.
  • If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes during the October 4 election, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff scheduled for October 25.
  • In the first-round scenario, Lula would receive 45.8% of voter support, while Bolsonaro follows with 43.4%, according to the survey of 5,015 people conducted between September 17 and 22.
  • Results remain little changed from last week, keeping the race within the 1 percentage point margin of error; a September 17 poll showed Bolsonaro, son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, leading Lula 47.2% to 46.8%.
  • Other candidates in the first-round field include Renan Santos at 4.5%, Augusto Cury at 2.1%, and Ronaldo Caiado at 1.3% of voter support.
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Lula da Silva and Flavio Bolsonaro remain statistically tied ahead of the second round of elections in Brazil, according to an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll, with Lula leading narrowly, within the margin of error.

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President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) follow technically tied in a possible second round of the presidential election, but the petist began to have a small numerical advantage, according to research Atlas/Bloomberg released on Wednesday, 23. Lula records 47.7% of the voting intentions, while Flávio has 47.4%. In [...] The post Atlas/Bloomberg: Lula has 47.7% and Flávio Bolsonaro records 47.4% in the second ro…

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Metrópoles broke the news on Wednesday, September 23, 2026.
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