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BOJ to Raise Rates to 1.50% in December, Sticking to Quarterly Pace: Reuters Poll
A majority of economists in a Reuters poll expect The BOJ to raise interest rates to 1.50% this quarter, continuing a policy tightening campaign that accelerated from one annual increase.
Rising energy and import costs, worsened by a weak yen and conflict in the Middle East, are driving inflation pressure in Japan and supporting the case for further increases.
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi aims to keep new bond issuance at around $251 billion for the fiscal 2027 budget, though analysts fear her "spending and tax-cut plans" will worsen strained finances.
Two board members nominated by Takaichi opposed the September rate hike to 1.25%, fueling trader concerns that her administration may attempt to restrain future policy tightening.
Forecasters expect further rate rises to 2.0% by the middle of next year, with 51% of analysts anticipating such levels amid persistent inflation pressure.