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The CLARITY Act's Last Obstacle Is the President It Would Bind

Bitcoin and ether climbed as traders bet an ethics dispute blocking the Clarity Act was nearing resolution, lifting odds of a 2026 law to 43%.

  • On Monday, Polymarket traders pushed the odds of the Clarity Act becoming law to 43%, up from 32% on Friday, following reports that President Donald Trump agreed to a critical ethics provision.
  • At a July 16 meeting, Trump discussed the ethics provision with Republican Senators Bernie Moreno and Cynthia Lummis and White House crypto adviser Patrick Witt, addressing what was previously the last major obstacle to the bill.
  • Bitcoin rallied above $66,000, gaining 3.5% in 24 hours, as traders noted "Bitcoin momentum" while reacting to the legislative breakthrough and a recovery in semiconductor stocks.
  • Sources told CoinDesk that Democrats have not yet reviewed the bill's text, which aims to split oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission .
  • With the Senate facing an early August deadline to vote on the legislation, analysts are now watching the $68,000 threshold for further market signals on the digital asset framework.
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The likelihood that the Clarity Act, one of the most relevant legislative projects for the digital asset industry in the United States, will be approved this year showed a sharp increase in Polymarket after unconfirmed reports emerged that suggest that President Donald Trump would have accepted an ethical provision that kept negotiations blocked.The movement reflected renewed optimism among the participants in the prediction market, although the…

Clarity Act approval odds rose to 43% in Polymarket after unconfirmed reports of a supposed ethical agreement by Donald Trump. However, Democrats have not yet seen the text of the bill and the Senate faces a key deadline at the beginning of August. *** Polymarket raised the likelihood of Clarity Act becoming law from 32% to 43% during 2026. Trump’s so-called ethical agreement seeks to unravel the main obstacle to the project, although there is n…

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coincodex.com broke the news on Monday, July 20, 2026.
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