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Bank of Korea to Hold Rates at 2.50% as War-Driven Uncertainty Persists

All 31 economists polled by Reuters expect no change as policymakers weigh higher oil prices, a weaker won and inflation risks.

  • On Friday, April 10, 2026, the Bank of Korea maintained its base interest rate at 2.50%, aligning with predictions from a Reuters poll of 31 economists who forecast the freeze.
  • Since the start of Israeli strikes on Iran, oil prices have increased over 50%, raising risks to growth and inflation in South Korea, which sources around 70% of its oil from the Gulf region.
  • The Korean won has weakened 4% against the dollar since the war began, while inflation rose to 2.2% in March, slightly exceeding the Bank's 2% target.
  • Stephen Lee, chief economist at Meritz Securities, said the Bank is monitoring the won, as currency weakness could feed into consumer inflation through higher import prices.
  • Among 30 economists, 26 forecast no rate changes through 2026, with experts noting the freeze holds as long as the war's impact on headline inflation turns out to be "transitory.
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Lee Chang-yong’s Final Monetary Policy Committee Meeting: Rate Freezes for 7 Consecutive Years, Maintaining 2.5% Amid Burden of High Oil Prices and High Exchange Rates Ruling and Opposition Parties Reach Agreement on 26 Trillion Won Supplementary Budget War; Processed The Bank of Korea held a Monetary Policy Committee meeting on the 10th and unanimously decided to freeze the base interest rate at 2.5% per annum. The Bank of Korea has kept the r…

연합뉴스-Yonhap News Agency연합뉴스-Yonhap News Agency
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(Seoul = Yonhap News) (End)

·Korea (the Republic of)
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Bias Distribution

  • 43% of the sources lean Right
43% Right

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Reuters broke the news in United Kingdom on Wednesday, April 8, 2026.
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