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Bank of Canada’s Macklem warns global resilience ‘under strain’

Macklem said the Bank of Canada may raise its inflation forecast as oil prices stay high and global reserves are depleted, with inflation at 3%.

  • Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem warned Saturday from Bangkok that global economic resilience is increasingly "under strain" as persistent geopolitical conflicts drive up energy costs and force a significantly higher inflation forecast this month.
  • Refinery damage in Russia and Ukraine, combined with ongoing Middle East conflict and curtailed shipments, has increased the risk that inflation broadens and becomes more persistent, Macklem told journalists.
  • Crude oil trades around $110 for Brent and $101 for West Texas Intermediate, prompting Macklem to warn that nations can only release strategic reserves so many times before supplies require restocking.
  • Statistics Canada releases September inflation data on Monday, providing critical input ahead of the Bank of Canada's October 28 rate decision, with markets pricing a 95 per cent chance of a hike by December.
  • Macklem framed the policy dilemma: "Is inflation likely to come back down towards our target on its own, or are we going to have to raise interest rates to influence the path?" The 2 per cent target remains the bank's anchor.
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High energy prices on a global scale will increase inflation at the national level, he warns.

·Montreal, Canada
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ReutersReuters
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Bank of Canada sees sharply higher inflation outlook as oil surges ...

·London, United Kingdom
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Ckpg TodayCkpg Today
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Bank of Canada’s Macklem warns global resilience ‘under strain’

The head of the Bank of Canada says the global economy has held up well through a series of recent shocks but that resilience is being tested. Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem spoke to reporters today from the sidelines of the International Monetar...

·Prince George, Canada
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Winnipeg Free Press broke the news in Winnipeg, Canada on Saturday, October 17, 2026.
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