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NBA Teams to Win Game 7 on the Road: What History Says About San Antonio's Chances vs. Thunder
B/R’s NBA staff backed the Thunder or Spurs in Game 7, with Oklahoma City holding a 40-8 home record this season.
On Saturday, May 30, 2026, the Oklahoma City Thunder host the San Antonio Spurs in Game 7 of the Western Conference Finals at Paycom Center, with a trip to the NBA Finals against the New York Knicks on the line.
San Antonio forced this decisive matchup by dismantling Oklahoma City 118-91 in Game 6 on Thursday, with star Victor Wembanyama leading the Spurs to stave off elimination and tie the series.
Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander faces Spurs defensive player Victor Wembanyama in a rare Game 7 matchup of Most Valuable Player and Kia NBA Defensive Player, while six of nine ESPN experts favor Oklahoma City.
Home teams have historically won 73% of Game 7s in NBA playoff history, yet the Thunder are 3.5-point favorites; Oklahoma City earned the best regular-season record with 64 wins versus San Antonio's 62.
This marks the first Western Conference Finals to feature a Game 7 since the Golden State Warriors beat the Houston Rockets in 2018, as the Thunder aim to become the first team to repeat as NBA champions since the Warriors.