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Australia declares possible strongest El Niño in decades

The bureau said sea surface temperatures and atmospheric indicators are reinforcing the pattern, and half the models show a peak among the strongest since 1950.

  • On Tuesday, June 16, 2026, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology declared an El Niño weather pattern active in the tropical Pacific, with models indicating it could become one of the strongest in seven decades.
  • Warmer-than-Normal water temperatures in the central tropical Pacific define El Niño, which typically lasts 12 months while disrupting global weather patterns and increasing risks of extreme temperature shifts.
  • Scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration estimate a 63 percent chance of a very strong event during November-January, with models suggesting peak levels could rank among the highest observed since 1950.
  • Forecasters expect the event to bring excessive rains to the Americas and hot, dry conditions in Asia, while the BOM warns of below-median rainfall for much of southern and eastern Australia through September.
  • While scientists warn climate change will likely supercharge the event's effects, experts emphasize that every El Niño is different, making local impacts difficult to predict with absolute certainty.
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Australia has confirmed the formation of an El Niño phenomenon in the tropical Pacific Ocean, warning that it could intensify in the latter half of 2026, becoming one of the most severe events in over 70 years.

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The Australian meteorological service warned Tuesday that in the tropical Pacific a meteorological phenomenon of the type El Nino, which could intensify, becoming one of the most powerful in the last seven decades, informs Reuters and Agerpres.

·Romania
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The weather phenomenon is particularly damaging to Australia, as it affects the country's agricultural production.

·Belgrade, Serbia
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The Australian meteorological service announced Tuesday that in the tropical Pacific a meteorological phenomenon of the type El Niño was formed. Specialists warn that it could intensify in the next period and could reach among the most powerful phenomena of this kind in the last seven decades.

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ABC Australia broke the news in Australia on Tuesday, June 16, 2026.
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