Atlanta Fed predicts negative 1.5 percent GDP growth in first quarter

Modern Diplomacy

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Unsurprisingly, US Economic Prospects Take a Negative Turn

Barely 2 weeks ago, US economy seemed resilient, but that was then. Although Trump tariffs have barely taken off, several indicators are now raising red flags.             The Atlanta Fed’s GDP tracker indicates US economy is headed for a 1.5% contraction in the first quarter, despite 2.3% growth days earlier. That’s a sharp reversal from […] The post Unsurprisingly, US Economic Prospects Take a Negative Turn appeared first on Modern Diplomacy.

Fortune

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The US economy has suddenly been thrown into reverse as key GDP indicator flashes stunning negative forecast

The Atlanta Fed's GDP tracker now indicates the economy is headed for a 1.5% contraction in the first quarter, after showing 2.3% growth just days earlier.

MarketWatch

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Closely watched Atlanta Fed GDP tracker sees U.S. economy contracting in first quarter

This would be the first negative quarter in three years, and comes as talk of a possible recession picks up.

Daily Kos

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The Fed Predicts We Are Entering A Recession Right Now

The Atlanta Federal Reserve is effectively predicting a recession starting now. It's prediction for the first quarter of 2025 GDP change is now -1.5%. Just nine days ago the forecast from the same source was +2.3%. Just three weeks ago the forecast was...

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The first quarter is on track for negative GDP growth, Atlanta Fed indicator says

The central bank's GDPNow tracker of incoming metrics is indicating that gross domestic product is on pace to shrink by 1.5%.

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Things seem to be turning into the U.S. economy, which entered in 2025 with strong growth inertia.Consumer data, consumer confidence data, inflation expectations, trade deficit figures and other indicators point to a weakening of activity.The Atlanta Federal Reserve, which processes the available data to try to give clues as soon as possible about how the economy evolves, foresees a contraction of gross domestic product (GDP) in the first quarte…