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More early stage colon cancers found in people aged 45-49 due to more screenings, research shows

UNITED STATES, AUG 5 – Screening rates for colorectal cancer in adults 45 to 49 rose from 20.8% in 2019 to 33.7% in 2023, linked to a 50% increase in early-stage diagnoses, researchers say.

  • A new study in BMC Cancer introduces a nomogram-based model linking lifestyle factors to colorectal cancer incidence using NHIS data from 2009 to 2012.
  • The research team applied LASSO regression to select predictors such as BMI, smoking status, and abdominal obesity, then used a Cox proportional hazards model.
  • Performance metrics revealed that concordance indices of 0.60–0.70 demonstrated moderate predictive accuracy, with calibration via 10-fold cross-validation aligning predicted and observed CRC rates.
  • The model empowers individuals and clinicians to make evidence-based CRC prevention decisions, as high-risk participants showed elevated cumulative incidence, underscoring its public health utility.
  • Future work may integrate genetic and microbiome data for refined risk stratification, and authors call for external validation in diverse populations.
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As more young people get screened, more colon cancer is being found early. Here's how to lower your risk

Learn about the rise in colorectal cancer among young adults, the importance of early detection, and how lifestyle changes can reduce your risk.

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Scienmag: Latest Science and Health News broke the news in on Sunday, August 3, 2025.
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