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AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Arizona's special congressional election

Adelita Grijalva leads with 62% in the Democratic primary and holds a $1.3 million campaign fund, while Daniel Butierez raised $72,000 for Arizona's 7th District special election.

  • On Tuesday, voters in Arizona's 7th Congressional District will elect a representative to serve the remaining 15 months of the term.
  • Democratic U.S. Rep. Raúl Grijalva's March death prompted a vacancy in Arizona's 7th Congressional District, which stretches from Yuma to Tucson and includes parts of six counties.
  • Grijalva entered the final stretch with about $109,000, reporting about $72,000 in contributions and a $136,000 loan, endorsed by Sanders, Ocasio-Cortez, and Arizona's Democratic senators.
  • While the seat won't decide control of the House, it is one of two vacancies in heavily Democratic districts that could chip away at Republicans' 219-213 majority, with Democrats enjoying a nearly 2-1 registration advantage in five of six counties in Arizona's 7th Congressional District.
  • As of Aug. 25, voter rolls showed more than 478,000 registered voters and nearly 83,000 ballots cast in the July special primary in the district's six counties including Maricopa, Pima and Pinal.
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The 19th broke the news in on Friday, September 19, 2025.
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