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Analysts Say US Moves on Iran, Venezuela Target China's Oil Supply

U.S. military actions and sanctions against Iran and Venezuela risk disrupting key oil flows to China, which relies on these imports for about one-third of its total demand, analysts say.

  • Rising tensions between the US and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz pose risks to China's oil supply, which sources over 46% of its seaborne crude from the Middle East.
  • Commercial insurers have begun withdrawing coverage or hiking premiums for transits through the Strait of Hormuz due to risks of disruption.
  • While China has over 1 billion barrels in strategic petroleum reserves, prolonged disruption could impact its construction industry and military operations.
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To understand the Chinese can sometimes help some of their millennial sayings. Deng Xiaoping (1904-1997), the key leader of Chinese economic modernization liked to repeat: “Sit on the mountain and watch the tigers fight.” And in the last two months China seemed to look from its “mountain,” almost disinterestedly, two conflicts that hit its allies harshly. In a quick succession of events, US President Donald Trump took Venezuelan President Nicolá…

·Buenos Aires, Argentina
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  • 43% of the sources are Center
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Brookings broke the news in on Monday, January 26, 2026.
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