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Iran's Leaders Think They Have Trump Cornered, but Their Strategy Carries Great Risks

Tehran sees control of the waterway as leverage as U.S. weapons stockpiles thin and analysts warn the strategy could deepen economic strain.

  • Iran has positioned the Strait of Hormuz as an "unbreakable red line" to exert leverage against the United States, according to security analyst Mostafa Najafi, a Tehran-based expert. This strategy aims to reshape Persian Gulf security rules and maintain regional power balances.
  • A U.S. blockade has severely battered Iran's economy, contributing to a currency crisis that sparked some of the biggest antigovernment protests in the 47-year history of the Islamic Republic. Iran now seeks to manage the waterway to potentially charge fees.
  • Former Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif wrote that Iran's achievements opened "an exceptional window for diplomacy," yet advisor Mahdi Mohammadi, speaking for Iran's chief negotiator, posted "We always decide for ourselves when it ends." Internal divisions surface over resolution strategy.
  • Iranian authorities are betting that military pressure will force the United States to accept their control over the waterway, knowing that diminishing stockpiles of advanced U.S. missile interceptors strengthen their position. The ongoing war is deeply unpopular with Americans.
  • Mohammad Javad Zarif warned that failing to strike a deal soon will make "economic recovery difficult," with internal unrest or renewed aggression possible after U.S. elections. The atomic issue remains sidelined by the Strait conflict, complicating long-term resolution.
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This article was first published on Cedarnews.net. For more exclusive news and reports, visit our website. AFP via Getty Images. Seven months into the US-Israeli war with Iran, and despite the immense strain on the country's economy and infrastructure, its decision-makers still seem in no hurry to end it. Tehran may want to demonstrate that the US alone cannot dictate the pace of the war, and it may also be hoping to increase the costs… This new…

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According to some versions, the Strait of Ormuz owes its name to a Zoroastrian deity destined to emerge victorious after a 9,000-year confrontation with an adversary. Iranian leaders feel that their victory is near and that it will not require the same epic patience. They bet that military pressure will end up forcing the United States to accept its control over this crucial waterway for world energy, and that time is on their side. They know th…

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The Strait of Ormuz owes its name, according to some versions, to a Zoroastrian deity destined to emerge victorious after a confrontation of 9,000 years with an adversary.

·Madrid, Spain
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The Toronto Star broke the news in Toronto, Canada on Saturday, August 8, 2026.
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